2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races That Could Determine Control

The 2024 U.S. House elections are highly competitive, with Democrats aiming to flip several Republican-held districts. Key races in states like Alabama, Arizona, and California are crucial to determining the balance of power. With Republicans holding a slim majority, every seat is vital for control.

CONTENTS:

• Key U.S. House races highlighted.
• Tight House races, results pending.
• Competitive House races determine control.

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races That Could Determine Control

Key U.S. House races highlighted

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races   Voters across the country will decide which party controls the U.S. House. A party must hold 218 seats to secure the majority. Currently, Republicans hold a narrow majority in the chamber. There are currently 220 Republicans, 212 Democrats, and three vacancies. The razor-thin majority for Republicans has caused havoc in the chamber because a small number of conservatives have been able to bring operations to a halt and ousted the speaker in 2023. Democrats are hoping to ride higher turnout in the presidential election to regain control.

– Florida, House District 13
Projected winner: Republican Luna (54.8%)
Democrat Fox (45.1%)

– Virginia, House District 7
76% in
Democrat Vindman (51.1%)
Republican Anderson (48.9%)

– North Carolina, House District 1
91% in
Democrat Davis (49.4%)
Republican Buckhout (47.9%)

– Ohio, House District 9
94% in
Democrat Kaptur (48.1%)
Republican Merrin (47.8%)

– Alabama, House District 2
Projected winner: Democrat Figures (54.6%)
Republican Dobson (45.4%)

– Delaware, House District 1
Projected winner: Democrat McBride (57.7%)
Republican Whalen (42.3%)

– Maine, House District 2
56% in
Democrat Golden (51.2%)
Republican Theriault (48.6%)

– Michigan, House District 7
Projected winner: Republican Barrett (50.4%)
Democrat Hertel (46.5%)

– New Hampshire, House District 2
Projected winner: Democrat Goodlander (53%)
Republican Tang Williams (46.9%)

– Pennsylvania, House District 7
99% in
Republican Mackenzie (50.7%)
Democrat Wild (49.3%)

– Pennsylvania, House District 8
Projected winner: Republican Bresnahan (51%)
Democrat Cartwright (49%)

– Pennsylvania, House District 10
99% in
Republican Perry (50.8%)
Democrat Stelson (49.2%)

– Texas, House District 28
Projected winner: Democrat Cuellar (52.5%)
Republican Furman (47.5%)

– Arizona, House District 6
54% in
Democrat Engel (51.8%)
Republican Ciscomani (46.1%)

– Colorado, House District 3
86% in
Republican Hurd (49.8%)
Democrat Frisch (47.1%)

– Colorado, House District 8
71% in
Democrat Caraveo (49.5%)
Republican Evans (48%)

– Iowa, House District 1
98% in
Republican Miller-Meeks (50.1%)
Democrat Bohannan (49.9%)

– Nebraska, House District 2
84% in
Republican Bacon (50.1%)
Democrat Vargas (49.9%)

– New Mexico, House District 2
99% in
Democrat Vasquez (51.9%)
Republican Herrell (48.1%)

– New York, House District 4
92% in
Democrat Gillen (50.9%)
Republican D’Esposito (49.1%)

– New York, House District 17
Projected winner: Republican Lawler (52.5%)
Democrat Jones (45.5%)

– Wisconsin, House District 3
Projected winner: Republican Van Orden (51.4%)
Democrat Cooke (48.6%)

– Montana, House District 1
37% in
Democrat Tranel (48.7%)
Republican Zinke (48.5%)

– California, House District 22
39% in
Republican Valadao (53.9%)
Democrat Salas (46.1%)

– California, House District 41
51% in
Democrat Rollins (51.5%)
Republican Calvert (48.5%)

– California, House District 45
52% in
Republican Steel (50.8%)
Democrat Tran (49.2%)

– California, House District 47
66% in
Republican Baugh (50.7%)
Democrat Min (49.3%)

– Oregon, House District 5
68% in
Democrat Bynum (48%)
Republican Chavez-Deremer (45.5%)

– Washington, House District 3
70% in
Democrat Gluesenkamp Perez (52%)
Republican Kent (48%)

– Washington, House District 4
50% in
Republican Newhouse (51.2%)
Republican Sessler (48.8%)

– Alaska, House District 1
0% in
Democrat Peltola (0%)
Republican Begich (0%)

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races 

All House races

– Democrats: 172 seats
– Republicans: 200 seats
– Uncalled: 63 seats

– Alabama-02: Race between Democrat Shomari Figures and Republican Caroleene Dobson for an open seat.

– Alaska-01: Race between Democrat Mary Peltola and Republican Nick Begich, with ranked-choice voting.

– Arizona-06: Race between incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani and Democrat Kirsten Engel for a seat Democrats hope to flip.

– California-22: Race between incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic challenger Rudy Salas.

– California-41: Race between Republican incumbent Ken Calvert and Democrat Will Rollins.

– California-45: Race between incumbent Republican Michelle Steel and Democrat Derek Tran.

– California-47: Race between Democrat Dave Min and Republican Scott Baugh for an open seat.

– Colorado-08: Race between Democrat Yadira Caraveo and Republican Gabe Evans.

– Delaware-01: Race between Democrat Sarah McBride and Republican John Whalen for an open seat.

– Florida-13: Race between incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna and Democrat Whitney Fox.

– Iowa-01: Race between incumbent Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks and Democrat Christina Bohannan.

– Maine-02: Race between incumbent Democrat Jared Golden and Republican Austin Theriault.

– Michigan-07: Race between Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat Curtis Hertel for an open seat.

– Montana-01: Race between incumbent Republican Ryan Zinke and Democrat Monica Tranel.

– Nebraska-02: Race between incumbent Republican Don Bacon and Democrat Tony Vargas.

Tight House races, results pending

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races   As of the early hours of November 6, 2024, the House races remain tight, with Republicans defending their narrow majority gained in 2022, mainly through victories in blue states like New York and California. These states are once again pivotal in determining which party will control the House.

Key updates from major races include:

– California District 45: Republican Michelle Steel leads Democrat Derek Tran with 50.8% of the vote, 2,826 votes ahead.

– Colorado District 8: Democrat Yadira Caraveo leads Republican Gabe Evans by 3,817 votes, with 49.5% of the vote, 71% of the votes counted.

– Iowa District 3: Republican Zach Nunn leads Democrat Lanon Baccam by 14,370 votes, with 99% of votes in.

– Maine District 2: Democrat Jared Golden is ahead of Republican Austin Theriault by 5,715 votes, with 56% of votes in.

– Michigan District 7: Republican Tom Barrett leads Democrat Curtis Hertel by 17,346 votes, with 97% of votes in.

– Nebraska District 2: Republican Don Bacon is ahead of Democrat Tony Vargas by 2,521 votes, with 85% of votes in.

– New York District 19: Democrat Josh Riley leads Republican Marc Molinaro by 3,678 votes, with 94% of votes in.

– North Carolina District 1: Democrat Don Davis is ahead of Republican Laurie Buckhout by 5,826 votes, with 91% of votes in.

– Pennsylvania District 10: Republican Scott Perry leads Democrat Janelle Stelson by 6,412 votes, with 99% of votes in.

– Virginia District 7: Democrat Eugene Vindman is ahead of Republican Derrick Anderson by 8,242 votes, with 76% of votes in.

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races   These results indicate a competitive race in key districts, with several races too close to call.

Competitive House races determine control

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races  The 2024 U.S. House elections are shaping up to be highly competitive, with key districts across the country still up for grabs. Democrats are hoping to regain control of the House by flipping several districts currently held by Republicans. Here are some important races to watch:

1. Alabama’s 2nd District: Democrat Shomari Figures is challenging Republican Caroleene Dobson in a race for an open seat. Republicans currently hold this district.

2. Alaska’s 1st District: Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola is running against Republican Nick Begich, with ranked-choice voting likely influencing the outcome. This race is crucial, as Peltola made history by winning a special election in 2022, ending decades of Republican control.

3. Arizona’s 6th District: Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani faces Democrat Kirsten Engel. This district has become a battleground as Democrats aim to flip it for the first time in years.

4. California’s 22nd District: Republican David Valadao is fighting to retain his seat against Democrat Rudy Salas, with Democrats hoping to flip this district due to its shifting demographics.

5. Florida’s 13th District: Republican Anna Paulina Luna is facing Democrat Whitney Fox. Luna is known for her strong alliance with former President Donald Trump.

6. Iowa’s 1st District: Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks is defending her seat against Democrat Christina Bohannan in a rematch from 2022.

7. Michigan’s 7th District: The race for this open seat, being vacated by Democrat Elissa Slotkin (who is running for Senate), is between Republican Tom Barrett and Democrat Curtis Hertel.

8. Montana’s 1st District: Republican Ryan Zinke faces Democrat Monica Tranel. This district is key in Montana’s political landscape, with Zinke being a former Secretary of the Interior.

9. New Hampshire: The race in New Hampshire’s 2nd District is closely watched, with the potential for Democrats to flip a seat in a state that is increasingly competitive.

2024 U.S. House Elections: 9 Key Races   With Republicans currently holding a narrow 220-212 majority in the House, every seat counts, and many of these races are still too close to call. The final balance of power in the House may be determined by these and other battleground districts as voters head to the polls.